New Study based on NTA Data

Abstract

We assess the impact of population structure on economic growth. Following recent research, we focus on the generational turnover as a key driver of consumption growth. We characterize the impact of the average birth and death rates on the generational turnover, depending on the age-pro le of consumption and on the extent of annuity market imperfection. Using recent data from the National Transfer Accounts on consumption pro les for a number of countries, we assess in a comparative way the sign and magnitude of generational turnover and its impact on consumption growth. We nd considerable cross-country variation and trace it back to di erences in demographic rates and in the consumption structure. (Link to Paper)

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